Sport Picks

China

Super League Longxing Football Stadium

Chongqing Tonglianglong

2 - 3

Beijing Guoan

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Abreu F.

Assist: Zhang Xizhe

45'

Chen Chunxin

46'

Sub

Chen Chunxin In: Wu Yongqiang

Out: Chen Chunxin

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Chongqing Tonglianglong and Beijing Guoan finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Chongqing Tonglianglong

44%

Draws

20%

Beijing Guoan

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Chongqing Tonglianglong on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 14%

Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chongqing Tonglianglong	Beijing Guoan
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	14
Draws	9	6
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.13	2
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Beijing Guoan

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimata L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lucao

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Serginho

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chongqing Tonglianglong 35 / 100

Beijing Guoan 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chongqing Tonglianglong Beijing Guoan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Chongqing Tonglianglong's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Beijing Guoan let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Chongqing Tonglianglong remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chongqing Tonglianglong VS Beijing Guoan

1.13 Goals Scored 2

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	18	13	3	2	38:17	42
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	18	7	7	4	22:20	28
3	Dalian Yingbo	17	8	1	8	25:31	25
4	Shandong Taishan	18	9	3	6	34:31	24
5	Yunnan Yukun	18	7	3	8	34:33	24
6	Qingdao West Coast	18	5	9	4	22:28	24
7	Beijing Guoan	17	7	5	5	29:23	21
8	Zhejiang Professional	18	7	4	7	26:31	20
9	Liaoning Tieren	17	6	2	9	24:29	20
10	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	18	6	2	10	25:31	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	17	8	5	4	36:27	19
12	Shanghai Port	17	5	5	7	26:24	15
13	Henan Songshan Longmen	17	6	3	8	18:22	15
14	Qingdao Hainiu	18	6	3	9	29:31	14
15	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	17	4	6	7	22:22	8
16	Wuhan Three Towns	17	2	7	8	24:34	8