Sport Picks
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Liaoning Tieren
China
Super League Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing 
Match Events
18'
18'
Jeffinho
25'
25'
Yan Dinghao
46'
46'
Sub
Ruan Qilong In: Wei Suowei
Out: Ruan Qilong
AI Match Summary
Chongqing Tonglianglong in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chongqing Tonglianglong.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chongqing Tonglianglong
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chongqing Tonglianglong have won more games recently than Liaoning Tieren.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 68%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Liaoning Tieren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
4:2
Mar 29, 2025 League One
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Liaoning Tieren
2:1
Jul 7, 2024 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare
Top Goalscorer Cimpanu G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Liaoning Tieren Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chongqing Tonglianglong 68 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chongqing Tonglianglong Liaoning Tieren
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Chongqing Tonglianglong's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Liaoning Tieren let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Chongqing Tonglianglong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chongqing Tonglianglong VS Liaoning Tieren
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chongqing Tonglianglong
(Home) 21 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 0 Qingdao West Coast
18 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 0 Qingdao West Coast
18 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
30 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 3 Beijing Guoan
20 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 0 Yunnan Yukun
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Liaoning Tieren
(Away) 17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5 Shandong Taishan
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
29 May
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 2 Shanghai Port
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17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
24 May
Zhejiang Professional
0 : 5 Liaoning Tieren
16 May
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2 Liaoning Tieren
01 May
Henan Songshan Longmen
4 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28:32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36:35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23:29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35:34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang Professional | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25:33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28:26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26:34 | 11 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)