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Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zhang Zhixiong
Assist: Cimpanu G.
46'
Sub
Liu Yang In: Merkies R.
Out: Liu Yang
46'
Sub
Memet Imran In: Huang Zhengyu
Out: Memet Imran

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
30%
Draws
54%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shandong Taishan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shandong Taishan lately — more wins on the board than Chongqing Tonglianglong.
  • Model gives Chongqing Tonglianglong a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shandong Taishan here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 15%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chongqing Tonglianglong Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan
1:1
May 16, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
3:1
Jun 22, 2024 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Zhixiong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Qazaishvili V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chongqing Tonglianglong 41 / 100
Shandong Taishan 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chongqing Tonglianglong Shandong Taishan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shandong Taishan conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Chongqing Tonglianglong scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Chongqing Tonglianglong has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chongqing Tonglianglong VS Shandong Taishan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Home)
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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Shandong Taishan

(Away)
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3
Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)