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Chorley vs Altrincham

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chorley and Altrincham finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chorley
39%
Draws
30%
Altrincham
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Altrincham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chorley Clean Sheet 20%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chorley Altrincham
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 National League North
Chorley vs Altrincham
2:1
Apr 13, 2019 National League North
Altrincham vs Chorley
5:3
Jan 12, 2019 National League North
Chorley vs Altrincham
4:1
Jan 21, 2017 National League North
Chorley vs Altrincham
2:0
Sep 6, 2016 National League North
Altrincham vs Chorley
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 32 / 100
Altrincham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Altrincham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Chorley scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Altrincham let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Chorley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Altrincham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0
Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Jul
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Chorley
25 Apr
Chorley
2 : 1
Worksop
18 Apr
King’s Lynn
1 : 1
Chorley
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Altrincham

(Away)
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0
Altrincham
11 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 2
Altrincham
25 Apr
Altrincham
3 : 1
Gateshead
18 Apr
Sutton
1 : 2
Altrincham
11 Apr
Altrincham
1 : 0
Eastleigh
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