Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Campbell T.
59'
59'
Campbell T.
79'
79'
Taylor E.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Chorley and Brackley finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brackley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Chorley carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chorley's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chorley Clean Sheet 18%
Brackley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | Brackley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Brackley
2:2
Feb 11, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Brackley
4:1
Sep 3, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chorley
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chorley
1:0
Feb 27, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chorley
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Brackley Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chorley 41 / 100
Brackley 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chorley Brackley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brackley has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Chorley scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Chorley stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chorley VS Brackley
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home) 31 Oct
Spennymoor
2 : 0 Chorley
27 Oct
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Chorley
24 Oct
Chorley
2 : 3 Buxton
20 Oct
Worcester
1 : 0 Chorley
17 Oct
Chorley
1 : 1 Worcester
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Chorley
2 : 3 Buxton
17 Oct
Chorley
1 : 1 Worcester
10 Oct
Chorley
2 : 1 Telford
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 3
Brackley
(Away) 31 Oct
Worksop
0 : 1 Brackley
27 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2 Brackley
24 Oct
Brackley
0 : 1 Radcliffe
17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2 Brackley
10 Oct
Brackley
2 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Worksop
0 : 1 Brackley
27 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2 Brackley
17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2 Brackley
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Hereford | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:11 | 26 |
| 5 | Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:21 | 24 |
| 7 | Hednesford | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 8 | Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:12 | 23 |
| 9 | Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:14 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 12 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Worksop | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 20 |
| 14 | Hebburn Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:24 | 20 |
| 15 | Telford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | 19 |
| 16 | Brackley | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 17 | Harborough | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 18 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:19 | 16 |
| 19 | Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 20 | Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 21 | Scarborough Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:25 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
