Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Campbell T.
59'
59'
Campbell T.
79'
79'
Taylor E.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Chorley and Brackley finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Chorley carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chorley's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Chorley Clean Sheet 68%
Brackley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | Brackley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Brackley
2:2
Feb 11, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Brackley
4:1
Sep 3, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chorley
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chorley
1:0
Feb 27, 2024 National League North
Brackley vs Chorley
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Brackley Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chorley 86 / 100
Brackley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chorley Brackley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chorley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brackley has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Chorley scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Chorley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chorley VS Brackley
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home) 19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2 Chester
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
Brackley
(Away) 19 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0 Portchester
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0 Harborough
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
22 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 1 Brackley
08 Aug
Telford
1 : 2 Brackley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Spalding United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 6 | South Shields | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Buxton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Bedford | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Chester | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 12 | King’s Lynn | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Harborough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Worksop | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Scarborough Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 16 | Chorley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | 11 |
| 17 | Marine | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 18 | Telford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hednesford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 20 | Southport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 21 | Brackley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 22 | Radcliffe | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
