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Chorley vs Bury FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Whitehouse B.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Carr T.
84' Event
Threlkeld O.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chorley and Bury FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bury FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Chorley
39%
Draws
31%
Bury FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bury FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chorley Clean Sheet 15%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chorley Bury FC
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 1
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Chorley vs Bury FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chorley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bury FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carr T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Threlkeld O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 30 / 100
Bury FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Bury FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bury FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chorley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Bury FC
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0
Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Jul
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Chorley
25 Apr
Chorley
2 : 1
Worksop
18 Apr
King’s Lynn
1 : 1
Chorley
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Bury FC

(Away)
21 Jul
Bury FC
4 : 0
Wigan U21
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Oct
Runcorn Linnets
7 : 0
Bury FC
16 Sept
Wythenshawe Town
1 : 2
Bury FC
26 Jul
Radcliffe
3 : 2
Bury FC
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