Sport Picks

Chorley vs Worcester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup

Worcester

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Chorley have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Worcester's 1.07 scored and 1.15 conceded. Head-to-head, Chorley have won 4 to Worcester's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2017, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Chorley. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Chorley

20%

Draws

32%

Worcester

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Worcester haven't matched Chorley's recent run of results.
Model gives Chorley a 48% chance of winning this.
Chorley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chorley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Chorley have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Chorley Clean Sheet 20%

Worcester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chorley	Worcester
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	9	8
Draws	5	10
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.19	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.35	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2017 National League North

Chorley vs Worcester

1:0

Aug 27, 2016 National League North

Worcester vs Chorley

0:1

Feb 13, 2016 National League North

Chorley vs Worcester

2:0

Aug 22, 2015 National League North

Worcester vs Chorley

2:3

Feb 28, 2015 National League North

Chorley vs Worcester

3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 67 / 100

Worcester 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chorley Worcester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chorley Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Worcester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chorley has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Worcester

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)

03 Oct

Barton Town

1 : 4

Chorley

26 Sept

Chorley

2 : 1

Spalding United

19 Sept

Warrington Rylands

0 : 1

Chorley

12 Sept

King’s Lynn

2 : 0

Chorley

08 Sept

Chorley

5 : 2

Darlington FC

Page 1 of 6

Worcester

(Away)

03 Oct

Kettering

1 : 3

Worcester

29 Sept

Racing Club Warwick

2 : 2

Worcester

26 Sept

Worcester

0 : 2

Leek Town

22 Sept

Worcester

0 : 0

Banbury

18 Sept

Worcester

2 : 1

Stratford

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Harborough -

TBD -

Stourbridge 1

Rushall 3

FC Witham Town 3

Stotfold 2

St. Albans 2

Hashtag 0

AFC Emley 3

Bishop Auckland 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Lower Breck 5

Thornaby 1

TBD -

Chester -

North Ferriby FC 0

Barton Town 2

Bourne 2

Boldmere St Michaels 3

Warrington Rylands 3

Hyde 1

TBD -

Chorley -

Wellingborough 3

Kettering 4

Quorn 2

Shepshed 1

Knowle 1

Worcester 2

Alfreton 0

Stratford 2

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Northampton on Chenecks 0

TBD -

Hereford -

Halesowen 3

Basford Utd. 1

Stamford 0

Mickleover 1

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton -

TBD -

Whitby 2

Ashton United 5

South Shields -

TBD -

Avro 0

Witton Albion 2

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 4

Grays 0

Leiston 5

Hednesford -

TBD -

Coventry United 2

Bedworth United 1

Hebburn Town -

TBD -

Stockton 3

Guiseley 4

Curzon Ashton 1

Bradford PA 2

Lancaster 3

Tadcaster Albion 1

Barrow -

TBD -

Dunstable 1

Woodford Town 3

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

Cornard United 0

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Gloucester City 5

Mangotsfield 1

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Shildon 2

Warrington Town 6

South Liverpool 4

Prestwich Heys 3

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Redcar Athletic 1

Stocksbridge 0

TBD -

Macclesfield -

Vauxhall 0

Dunston 2

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Leamington 3

Ilkeston 1

Sherwood Colliery 2

Gainsborough 4

Northampton Sileby 0

Anstey Nomads 4

Cleethorpes 1

Newcastle Town 2

Altrincham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Worksop -

Garforth 1

United of Manchester 5

Ossett United 1

Pontefract Collieries 0

Bury FC 8

Wythenshawe FC 0

Workington 3

Marske United 0

Bromsgrove 2

Nuneaton 0

Sporting Khalsa 0

Leek Town 5

TBD -

Harrogate -

Leighton Town 1

Gorleston 4

London Lions 2

Bury Town 4

Spalding United -

TBD -

Hanley Town 2

Abbey Hulton 1

Cambridge City 6

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Yaxley 1

Buckhurst Hill 4

Alvechurch 2

Wolverhampton City 0

Lye Town 1

Racing Club Warwick 5

Desborough Town 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 4

Ipswich Wanderers 0

Stanway Rovers 1

Needham Market 3

TBD -

Braintree -

Morecambe -

TBD -

Southport -

Redcar Town 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Heaton Stannington 1

Knaresborough Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Trafford 3

Northwich Victoria 2

Atherton Collieries 3

Prescot Cables 2

Horbury Town 0

Salisbury -

TBD -

Taunton Town 4

Millbrook 0

Dulwich Hamlet 4

East Grinstead Town 0

Faversham 2

Welling 3

Thame United 3

Reading City 2

Banbury 1

Exmouth Town 2

Whitehawk 2

Eastbourne Borough 4

Holmesdale 1

Windsor & Eton 5

Sutton -

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Truro -

Fleetlands 0

Cirencester 3

TBD -

Farnham -

Chesham -

TBD -

Ware 6

Fakenham 4

Harleston Town 3

Romford 1

Real Bedford 4

Royston Town 1

TBD -

Forest Green -

Three Bridges 0

Kingstonian 1

Leatherhead 3

Croydon Athletic 0

Ascot United 1

Pagham 3

Hanworth Villa 4

Whitstable Town 1

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Lewes 2

Cray Wanderers 3

TBD -

Maidstone -

Yate 3

Devizes Town 0

Chippenham Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Uxbridge 3

Haywards Heath 0

TBD -

Farnborough -

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Slimbridge 4

Wells City 0

Hungerford 4

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Bishops Cleeve 2

Poole Town 1

Tadley Calleva 3

Laverstock & Ford 1

Westfield 1

Dartford 3

Hayes & Yeading 2

Camberley Town 1

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Ramsgate 1

Bracknell Town 0

Torquay -

TBD -

Basingstoke 0

AFC Stoneham 1

Brixham 2

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Oxford City -

Billericay -

TBD -

Frenford 0

Enfield Town 4

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Crowborough 4

Whyteleafe 3

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Wimborne 3

Portishead Town 1

Brackley -

TBD -

Portchester 2

Portland United 1

Canvey Island 2

Newmarket 1

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aveley 4

Cheshunt 2

Concord Rangers 2

Brentwood 4

Brantham 0

Waltham Abbey 7

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Southend -

TBD -

Malvern Town 1

Redditch 5

Belper Town 0

Evesham 3

Stortford 2

Berkhamsted Town 3

Hendon 7

Hullbridge 3

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

St. Blazey 1

Tiverton 2

Sholing 2

Andover New Street 0

Winslow United 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Bath City 0

Weymouth 2

Broadfields United 1

Chichester City 4

SE Dons 2

Erith Town 0

Falmouth Town 2

Frome Town 4

Gosport Borough 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Walton & Hersham -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Margate 1

Snodland 3

Redhill 1

Sheppey United 2

Chertsey Town 3

Carshalton 2

Sittingbourne 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4

Flackwell Heath 0

Hanwell Town 1

Burgess Hill 3

Jersey Bulls 1

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Folkestone -

Southall FC 2

Cobham 1

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Egham Town 0

Chatham 4

Quarter-finals

Harborough 1

Rushall 0

FC Witham Town 0

St. Albans 3

AFC Emley 0

Spennymoor 4

Lower Breck 1

Chester 2

Barton Town 3

Boldmere St Michaels 1

Warrington Rylands 0

Chorley 1

Kettering 2

Quorn 0

Worcester 2

Stratford 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Hereford 2

Halesowen 2

Mickleover 0

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton 1

Ashton United 0

South Shields 7

Witton Albion 0

Hitchin 1

Leiston 2

Hednesford 0

Coventry United 1

Hebburn Town 1

Guiseley 4

Bradford PA 1

Lancaster 0

Barrow -

TBD -

Woodford Town 1

Mulbarton Wanderers 2

AFC Totton 0

Gloucester City 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine 3

Radcliffe 2

Warrington Town 3

South Liverpool 0

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Redcar Athletic 1

Macclesfield 2

Dunston 0

Scarborough Athletic 2

Leamington 1

Gainsborough 4

Anstey Nomads 2

Newcastle Town 1

Altrincham -

TBD -

Telford 4

Worksop 7

United of Manchester 4

Ossett United 1

Bury FC 5

Workington 1

Bromsgrove 2

Leek Town 1

TBD -

Harrogate -

Gorleston 3

Bury Town 4

Spalding United 2

Hanley Town 0

Cambridge City 3

Buckhurst Hill 1

Alvechurch 3

Racing Club Warwick 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 1

Needham Market 3

Braintree 6

Morecambe 2

Southport 0

Redcar Town 2

Darlington FC 4

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Heaton Stannington 1

Trafford 2

Atherton Collieries 2

Prescot Cables 0

Salisbury 4

Taunton Town 1

Dulwich Hamlet 4

Welling 1

Thame United 6

Exmouth Town 4

Eastbourne Borough 3

Windsor & Eton 0

Sutton -

TBD -

Merthyr Town 1

Truro 3

Cirencester 4

Farnham 3

Chesham 7

Ware 2

Harleston Town 1

Real Bedford 2

TBD -

Forest Green -

Kingstonian 0

Leatherhead 1

Pagham 0

Hanworth Villa 6

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford 2

King’s Lynn 1

Hemel Hempstead 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

Cray Wanderers 3

Maidstone 1

Yate 1

Chippenham Town 2

Uxbridge 4

Farnborough 2

Slimbridge 1

Hungerford 3

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Bishops Cleeve 0

Tadley Calleva 1

Dartford 4

Hayes & Yeading 2

Tonbridge 2

Ramsgate 1

Torquay 6

AFC Stoneham 1

Dorchester 0

Oxford City 2

Billericay 1

Enfield Town 3

Hampton & Richmond 4

Crowborough 6

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wimborne 3

Brackley 1

Portchester 0

Canvey Island 0

Chelmsford 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aveley 2

Brentwood 3

Waltham Abbey 1

Dagenham & Red. 4

Southend -

TBD -

Redditch 3

Evesham 0

Berkhamsted Town 4

Hendon 1

Maidenhead 1

Ebbsfleet 3

Tiverton 0

Sholing 1

Swindon Supermarine 1

Weymouth 3

Chichester City 2

SE Dons 3

Frome Town 0

Plymouth Parkway 2

Walton & Hersham 0

Horsham FC 3

Snodland 0

Sheppey United 1

Chertsey Town 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2

Hanwell Town 2

Burgess Hill 1

Dover Ath. 4

Folkestone 2

Southall FC 6

Dorking Wanderers 7

Slough Town 0

Chatham 1

Semi-finals

Harborough 3

St. Albans 2

Spennymoor 4

Chester 1

Barton Town 1

Chorley 4

Kettering 1

Worcester 3

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Halesowen 2

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton 0

South Shields 2

Leiston 3

Coventry United 1

Guiseley 1

Bradford PA 0

Barrow -

TBD -

Mulbarton Wanderers 1

Gloucester City 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine 2

Warrington Town 0

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Macclesfield 4

Scarborough Athletic 3

Gainsborough 2

Anstey Nomads 3

Altrincham -

TBD -

Worksop 0

United of Manchester 3

Bury FC 2

Bromsgrove 1

TBD -

Harrogate -

Bury Town 1

Spalding United 5

Cambridge City 1

Alvechurch 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Braintree 1

Morecambe 3

Darlington FC 0

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Trafford 2

Atherton Collieries 5

Salisbury 5

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Thame United 0

Eastbourne Borough 1

Sutton -

TBD -

Truro 4

Cirencester 0

Chesham 4

Real Bedford 3

TBD -

Forest Green -

Leatherhead 1

Hanworth Villa 0

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford 5

Wingate & Finchley 3

Cray Wanderers 3

Chippenham Town 0

Uxbridge 3

Hungerford 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Tadley Calleva 2

Dartford 1

Tonbridge 0

Torquay 1

Oxford City 6

Enfield Town 1

Crowborough 1

Wimborne 2

Brackley 0

Chelmsford 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Brentwood 3

Dagenham & Red. 1

Southend -

TBD -

Redditch 0

Berkhamsted Town 2

Ebbsfleet 1

Sholing 2

Weymouth 1

SE Dons 5

Plymouth Parkway 2

Horsham FC 1

Sheppey United 0

Chertsey Town 2

Hanwell Town 1

Dover Ath. 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Chatham 0

Final

Harborough -

Spennymoor -

Chorley -

Worcester -

Gateshead -

Stafford -

Halifax -

South Shields -

Leiston -

Guiseley -

Barrow -

Gloucester City -

Hartlepool -

Marine -

Boston United -

Scunthorpe -

Macclesfield -

Anstey Nomads -

Altrincham -

United of Manchester -

Bury FC -

Harrogate -

Spalding United -

Alvechurch -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Morecambe -

Kidderminster -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

Atherton Collieries -

Salisbury -

Eastbourne Borough -

Sutton -

Truro -

Chesham -

Forest Green -

Leatherhead -

Yeovil -

Bedford -

Cray Wanderers -

Uxbridge -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

Tadley Calleva -

Torquay -

Oxford City -

Wimborne -

Chelmsford -

Wealdstone -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

Brentwood -

Southend -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sholing -

SE Dons -

Plymouth Parkway -

Chertsey Town -

Dover Ath. -

Dorking Wanderers -

Chorley vs Worcester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Chorley

Worcester

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

Worcester

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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