Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chotebor vs Zdirec nad Doubravou

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chotebor play Zdirec nad Doubravou in the MOL Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chotebor averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Zdirec nad Doubravou averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Chotebor won 2, Zdirec nad Doubravou won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Chotebor and 1.31 for Zdirec nad Doubravou. This points to a Zdirec nad Doubravou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Chotebor
15%
Draws
44%
Zdirec nad Doubravou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zdirec nad Doubravou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chotebor picked up more points recently compared to Zdirec nad Doubravou.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 18%
Zdirec nad Doubravou Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chotebor Zdirec nad Doubravou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Zdirec nad Doubravou vs Chotebor
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Zdirec nad Doubravou
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 MOL Cup
Chotebor vs Zdirec nad Doubravou
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chotebor Compare

Top Goalscorer Chlad P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dvorak L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Zdirec nad Doubravou Compare

Top Goalscorer Stedry O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brychnac J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chotebor 41 / 100
Zdirec nad Doubravou 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chotebor Zdirec nad Doubravou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zdirec nad Doubravou or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chotebor attacking → ← attacking Zdirec nad Doubravou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chotebor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Zdirec nad Doubravou let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Chotebor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zdirec nad Doubravou lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 42
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50