Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Christchurch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Christchurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Christchurch come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Christchurch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Christchurch, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Christchurch Clean Sheet 19%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Christchurch | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2023 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Christchurch
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 Chatham Cup
Christchurch vs Eastern Suburbs
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Christchurch 32 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Christchurch Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Christchurch scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Eastern Suburbs has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Christchurch stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Christchurch VS Eastern Suburbs
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Christchurch
(Home) 05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0 Christchurch
19 Feb
Nomads United
2 : 1 Christchurch
29 Nov
Christchurch
1 : 4 Auckland FC 2
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Christchurch
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1 Western Suburbs
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29 Nov
Christchurch
1 : 4 Auckland FC 2
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1 Western Suburbs
01 Nov
Christchurch
2 : 2 Auckland City
18 Oct
Christchurch
1 : 2 Western Springs
04 Oct
Christchurch
4 : 2 Miramar
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Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
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26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
02 Nov
Coastal Spirit
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Oct
Wellington Olympic
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 0
Melville 2
Western Springs 3
Auckland City 2
Roslyn Wakari 4
Wanaka FC 3
Napier City 0
Waterside Karori 3
Hamilton 3
Ngaruawahia AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 0
Christchurch 3
Petone 0
Wellington Olympic 5
Birkenhead 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Quarter-finals
Melville 1
Western Springs 0
Roslyn Wakari 2
Waterside Karori 5
Hamilton 0
Christchurch 3
Wellington Olympic 2
Eastern Suburbs 3
Semi-finals
Melville 3
Waterside Karori 1
Christchurch 2
Eastern Suburbs 1
Final
Melville 2
Christchurch 3
