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Stadium Background

Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Chrobrego, Głogów
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chrobry Glogow host Arka Gdynia in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chrobry Glogow have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Arka Gdynia's 1.34 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Arka Gdynia slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.38, favoring Chrobry Glogow. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Chrobry Glogow
15%
Draws
64%
Arka Gdynia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arka Gdynia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chrobry Glogow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chrobry Glogow Clean Sheet 17%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chrobry Glogow Arka Gdynia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Division 1
Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow
2:0
Apr 5, 2024 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow
2:1
Sep 23, 2023 Division 1
Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia
1:0
Apr 21, 2023 Division 1
Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chrobry Glogow 31 / 100
Arka Gdynia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chrobry Glogow Arka Gdynia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arka Gdynia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chrobry Glogow scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Arka Gdynia conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Arka Gdynia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chrobry Glogow VS Arka Gdynia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chrobry Glogow

(Home)
17 Oct
Polonia Bytom
3 : 2
Chrobry Glogow
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6

Arka Gdynia

(Away)
18 Oct
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2
IFK Goteborg
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
4 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
5 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
6 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
8 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 11 3 0 8 11:16 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)