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Chrudim vs Varnsdorf

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Stadion Za Vodojemem, Chrudim
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bazout D.
21' Event
Zvolanek M.
35'
Vit M.

AI Match Summary

Chrudim in this 3. CFL - Group B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chrudim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Chrudim
20%
Draws
56%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varnsdorf lately — more wins on the board than Chrudim.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chrudim have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chrudim Clean Sheet 10%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chrudim Varnsdorf
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.3 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 ChNL
Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 ChNL
Varnsdorf vs Chrudim
0:3
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Chrudim
1:4
Apr 17, 2024 ChNL
Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chrudim Compare

Top Goalscorer Zvolanek M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bazout D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahile T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chrudim 30 / 100
Varnsdorf 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chrudim Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chrudim scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Chrudim stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Varnsdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chrudim VS Varnsdorf
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chrudim

(Home)
06 Sept
Brozany
1 : 1
Chrudim
29 Aug
Chrudim
1 : 2
Banik Most-Sous
23 Aug
Hradec Kralove B
0 : 0
Chrudim
15 Aug
Chrudim
3 : 1
Varnsdorf
12 Aug
Horni Redice
3 : 0
Chrudim
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Varnsdorf

(Away)
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
15 Aug
Chrudim
3 : 1
Varnsdorf
12 Aug
Brandys nad Labem
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jablonec B 5 3 2 0 12:2 11
2 Zapy 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
3 Teplice B 5 3 1 1 11:8 10
4 Mlada Boleslav B 5 3 0 2 18:6 9
5 Varnsdorf 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
6 Pardubice B 4 2 1 1 10:3 7
7 Banik Most-Sous 4 2 0 2 7:3 6
8 Hradec Kralove B 5 1 3 1 3:3 6
9 Horni Redice 4 2 0 2 2:8 6
10 Benatky n. Jiz. 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
11 Chrudim 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
12 Neratovice 5 1 2 2 4:10 5
13 Brozany 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
14 Liberec B 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
15 Caslav 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
16 Velke Hamry 5 0 0 5 2:16 0
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)