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Chrudim vs Varnsdorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Stadion Za Vodojemem, Chrudim
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bazout D.
21' Event
Zvolanek M.
35'
Vit M.

AI Match Summary

Chrudim in this 3. CFL - Group B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chrudim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chrudim
20%
Draws
33%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chrudim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varnsdorf lately — more wins on the board than Chrudim.
  • Win probability leans Chrudim's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chrudim have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chrudim Clean Sheet 10%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chrudim Varnsdorf
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.36 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 ChNL
Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 ChNL
Varnsdorf vs Chrudim
0:3
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Chrudim
1:4
Apr 17, 2024 ChNL
Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chrudim Compare

Top Goalscorer Zvolanek M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bazout D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahile T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chrudim 40 / 100
Varnsdorf 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chrudim Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chrudim scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Varnsdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Chrudim stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chrudim VS Varnsdorf
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chrudim

(Home)
31 Oct
Chrudim
1 : 0
Velke Hamry
24 Oct
Neratovice
6 : 1
Chrudim
17 Oct
Chrudim
2 : 1
Horni Redice
10 Oct
Liberec B
1 : 3
Chrudim
04 Oct
Benatky n. Jiz.
3 : 3
Chrudim
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Varnsdorf

(Away)
01 Nov
Caslav
2 : 2
Varnsdorf
28 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 3
Horni Redice
25 Oct
Varnsdorf
3 : 2
Brozany
17 Oct
Banik Most-Sous
1 : 0
Varnsdorf
11 Oct
Varnsdorf
2 : 1
Hradec Kralove B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jablonec B 13 9 3 1 32:12 30
2 Mlada Boleslav B 13 9 2 2 36:12 29
3 Zapy 13 7 4 2 27:18 25
4 Benatky n. Jiz. 13 5 7 1 20:11 22
5 Pardubice B 12 6 2 4 27:13 20
6 Neratovice 13 5 4 4 19:19 19
7 Varnsdorf 13 5 4 4 21:22 19
8 Banik Most-Sous 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
9 Chrudim 13 4 4 5 19:28 16
10 Caslav 13 4 4 5 15:25 16
11 Hradec Kralove B 13 3 4 6 11:14 13
12 Liberec B 13 3 4 6 16:24 13
13 Teplice B 13 4 1 8 19:28 13
14 Horni Redice 12 4 0 8 13:26 12
15 Brozany 13 2 5 6 17:24 11
16 Velke Hamry 13 2 2 9 12:33 8
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)