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Chuncheon vs Geoje

South Korea South Korea

K3-K4 League Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chuncheon
15%
Draws
28%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Geoje come out ahead of Chuncheon on wins alone.
  • Chuncheon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Geoje arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Geoje, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 12%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Geoje
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Chuncheon vs Geoje
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 83 / 100
Geoje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Geoje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuncheon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Geoje let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Chuncheon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Geoje
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuncheon

(Home)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Geoje

(Away)
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
11 Jul
Pyeongchang United
1 : 3
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Yeoju Citizen 0
Busan Kyotong 2
Siheung Citizen 0
Ulsan Citizen 1
Chuncheon 1
Geoje 2
Gyeongju KHNP 2
Pocheon 5
Semi-finals
Busan Kyotong 1
Ulsan Citizen 0
Geoje 1
Pocheon 2
Final
Busan Kyotong -
Pocheon -