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Chuncheon vs Geoje

South Korea South Korea

K3-K4 League Cup
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AI Match Summary

The K3-K4 League Cup game between Chuncheon and Geoje finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Geoje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chuncheon
39%
Draws
30%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Geoje come out ahead of Chuncheon on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal K3-K4 League Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 10%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Geoje
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Chuncheon vs Geoje
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 30 / 100
Geoje 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Geoje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuncheon scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Geoje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chuncheon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Geoje
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Yeoju Citizen0
Busan Kyotong2
Siheung Citizen0
Ulsan Citizen1
Chuncheon1
Geoje2
Gyeongju KHNP2
Pocheon5
Semi-finals
Busan Kyotong-
Ulsan Citizen-
Geoje-
Pocheon-
Final
TBD-
TBD-