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Chuncheon vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Lee J.

AI Match Summary

Pocheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pocheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chuncheon
20%
Draws
40%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocheon lately — more wins on the board than Chuncheon.
  • Model gives Chuncheon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pocheon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 11%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Pocheon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.45 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Pocheon
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Pocheon
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Chuncheon
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Chuncheon
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Pocheon
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chuncheon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 35 / 100
Pocheon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuncheon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pocheon conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Chuncheon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Pocheon
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuncheon

(Home)
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

Pocheon

(Away)
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 21 15 4 2 32:18 49
2 Pocheon 21 12 6 3 36:19 42
3 Daejeon Korail 21 11 5 5 31:16 38
4 Busan Kyotong 21 10 7 4 36:21 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 21 8 4 9 39:33 28
6 Gangneung 21 7 6 8 20:29 27
7 Chuncheon 21 7 5 9 37:34 26
8 Gyeongju KHNP 20 6 8 6 29:28 26
9 Changwon 20 6 8 6 22:22 26
10 Ulsan Citizen 21 7 4 10 22:24 25
11 Yeoju Citizen 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
12 Mokpo 21 3 9 9 16:34 18
13 Yangpyeong 21 3 8 10 27:41 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 21 1 7 13 21:46 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)