Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Yishunsin Stadium
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chungnam Asan play Gyeongnam in the K League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chungnam Asan averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Gyeongnam averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Chungnam Asan won 4, Gyeongnam won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Chungnam Asan and 1.19 for Gyeongnam. This points to a Chungnam Asan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chungnam Asan
24%
Draws
29%
Gyeongnam
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Chungnam Asan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Chungnam Asan picked up more points recently compared to Gyeongnam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Chungnam Asan Clean Sheet 20%
Gyeongnam Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chungnam Asan Gyeongnam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
2:2
May 17, 2025 K League 2
Gyeongnam vs Chungnam Asan
1:3
Sep 1, 2024 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
3:0
Jun 22, 2024 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chungnam Asan 46 / 100
Gyeongnam 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chungnam Asan Gyeongnam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chungnam Asan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chungnam Asan attacking → ← attacking Gyeongnam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chungnam Asan scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Gyeongnam let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chungnam Asan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gyeongnam lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 34
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Busan14102230:1732
2Suwon Bluewings15102321:1232
3Daegu1584332:2028
4Suwon FC1575329:2126
5Seoul E-Land1582525:1826
6Hwaseong1574422:1725
7Gimpo FC1466219:1424
8Chungnam Asan1455421:1820
9Cheonan City1447318:1619
10Seongnam1538414:1517
11Yongin FC1537519:2216
12Gyeongnam1444617:2316
13Paju Frontier1542915:2114
14Cheongju15110418:2613
15Ansan Greeners15321015:2811
16Jeonnam1415815:238
17Gimhae14131011:306