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Churchill Brothers vs East Bengal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Churchill Brothers host East Bengal in the ISL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Churchill Brothers at 1.97 goals for, 1.24 against; East Bengal at 2.26 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor Churchill Brothers slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 29, 2020, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.72 - 1.49) back East Bengal to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Churchill Brothers
30%
Draws
42%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Churchill Brothers haven't matched East Bengal's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Churchill Brothers Clean Sheet 16%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churchill Brothers East Bengal
Matches Played 29 43
Wins 14 24
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2020 I-League
East Bengal vs Churchill Brothers
1:1
Jan 4, 2020 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs East Bengal
1:0
Feb 17, 2019 I-League
East Bengal vs Churchill Brothers
1:1
Dec 20, 2018 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs East Bengal
1:2
Jan 8, 2018 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs East Bengal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churchill Brothers 36 / 100
East Bengal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churchill Brothers East Bengal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Churchill Brothers scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: East Bengal conceded in 60% of 43 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Churchill Brothers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Churchill Brothers VS East Bengal
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Churchill Brothers

(Home)
20 Apr
Mohun Bagan
:
Churchill Brothers
06 Apr
Real Kashmir
1 : 1
Churchill Brothers
30 Mar
Churchill Brothers
2 : 2
Inter Kashi
23 Mar
Churchill Brothers
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
19 Mar
Dempo
1 : 3
Churchill Brothers
Page 1 of 6

East Bengal

(Away)
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Churchill Brothers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bengaluru FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Chennaiyin FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kerala Blasters 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mumbai City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 North East United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Inter Kashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SC Delhi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)