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Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Gutierrez S.
32'
Sub
Lakra P. In: Singh M.
Out: Lakra P.
46'
Sub
Yeoule A. In: Bora G.
Out: Yeoule A.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between Churchill Brothers and Mumbai City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Churchill Brothers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Churchill Brothers
35%
Draws
35%
Mumbai City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Churchill Brothers haven't matched Mumbai City's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Churchill Brothers Clean Sheet 21%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churchill Brothers Mumbai City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2023 Super Cup
Mumbai City vs Churchill Brothers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churchill Brothers Compare

Top Goalscorer Bora G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mumbai City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churchill Brothers 37 / 100
Mumbai City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churchill Brothers Mumbai City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mumbai City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Churchill Brothers scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Churchill Brothers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mumbai City conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Churchill Brothers VS Mumbai City
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Churchill Brothers

(Home)
20 Apr
Mohun Bagan
:
Churchill Brothers
06 Apr
Real Kashmir
1 : 1
Churchill Brothers
30 Mar
Churchill Brothers
2 : 2
Inter Kashi
23 Mar
Churchill Brothers
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
19 Mar
Dempo
1 : 3
Churchill Brothers
Page 1 of 6

Mumbai City

(Away)
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
15 May
Mohammedan
0 : 4
Mumbai City
05 May
Mumbai City
1 : 2
East Bengal
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0
Mumbai City
18 Apr
FC Goa
2 : 0
Mumbai City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru FC 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Chennaiyin FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 FC Goa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Churchill Brothers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kerala Blasters 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mumbai City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 North East United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Inter Kashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SC Delhi 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)