Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Match Events

72'

Lopez C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Churriana de la Vega host Mancha in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Churriana de la Vega at 1 goals for, 1.88 against; Mancha at 1.13 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Churriana de la Vega slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.50, favoring Churriana de la Vega. Churriana de la Vega in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Churriana de la Vega

20%

Draws

38%

Mancha

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Churriana de la Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Churriana de la Vega has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mancha.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Churriana de la Vega.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 9 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 16%

Mancha Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Churriana de la Vega	Mancha
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	11	8
Draws	11	9
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Churriana de la Vega vs Mancha

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Mancha vs Churriana de la Vega

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Mancha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 41 / 100

Mancha 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Churriana de la Vega Mancha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Churriana de la Vega scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Mancha let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Churriana de la Vega went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mancha lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS Mancha

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	19	9	6	46:24	66
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55:29	65
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37:26	55
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38:29	54
5	Churriana de la Vega	34	14	10	10	32:40	52
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36:28	51
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	13	11	10	39:38	50
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	39:37	49
9	Atletico de Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41:39	46
10	Huetor Vega	34	12	9	13	43:42	45
11	Granada CF B	34	10	14	10	49:47	44
12	CD Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41:41	43
13	Melilla B	34	9	12	13	30:32	39
14	Mancha	34	9	10	15	30:38	37
15	Huetor Tajar	34	9	10	15	40:44	37
16	Martos	34	9	10	15	32:48	37
17	CD Torreperogil	34	9	6	19	24:45	33
18	El Palo	34	6	9	19	28:53	27