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Churriana de la Vega vs Melilla B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Lopez C.
61' Event
Peso A.
83' Event
Nwafuru A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Churriana de la Vega and Melilla B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Churriana de la Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Churriana de la Vega
39%
Draws
31%
Melilla B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Churriana de la Vega come out ahead of Melilla B on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 68%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churriana de la Vega Melilla B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs Melilla B
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Churriana de la Vega
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Melilla B Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwafuru A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 41 / 100
Melilla B 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churriana de la Vega Melilla B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Churriana de la Vega scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Melilla B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Churriana de la Vega went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS Melilla B
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Churriana de la Vega

(Home)
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
UD San Pedro
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
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Melilla B

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)