Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cibao vs Moca

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Correa R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The LDF 2025/2026 game between Cibao and Moca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cibao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cibao
35%
Draws
37%
Moca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Moca haven't matched Cibao's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular LDF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cibao Clean Sheet 28%
Moca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibao Moca
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 22 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:1
Apr 1, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 LDF
Cibao vs Moca
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibao 38 / 100
Moca 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibao Moca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cibao found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (38 games).

Moca let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Cibao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cibao VS Moca
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.14
75% Over 1.5 14%
38% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibao

(Home)
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
05 Sept
Cibao
2 : 1
Vega Real
29 Aug
Atlantico FC
1 : 4
Cibao
Page 1 of 8

Moca

(Away)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
30 Aug
Universidad O&M
0 : 0
Moca
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
21 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Vega Real
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 15 8 6 1 22:11 30
2 Delfines Del Este 15 7 5 3 19:12 26
3 Salcedo 15 6 5 4 20:17 23
4 Atletico Pantoja 15 4 7 4 22:18 19
5 Moca 15 3 5 7 12:19 14
6 Universidad O&M 15 1 4 10 16:34 7
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Play Offs)