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Cibao vs Moca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Cibao Logo

Cibao

Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Moca Logo

Moca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cibao host Moca in the LDF. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Cibao at 1.65 goals for, 0.76 against; Moca at 1 for, 1.11 against. Past meetings favor Moca slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.00) back Cibao to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cibao
30%
Draws
33%
Moca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cibao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cibao come out ahead of Moca on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Cibao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cibao Clean Sheet 20%
Moca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibao Moca
Matches Played 37 35
Wins 21 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:1
Apr 1, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 LDF
Cibao vs Moca
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Cibao
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibao 49 / 100
Moca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibao Moca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cibao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cibao scored in 84% of their last 37 outings.

Moca has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cibao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cibao VS Moca
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibao

(Home)
04 Oct
Delfines Del Este
1 : 2
Cibao
27 Sept
Cibao
3 : 0
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
23 Sept
Salcedo
0 : 0
Cibao
20 Sept
Cibao
1 : 1
Universidad O&M
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 8

Moca

(Away)
04 Oct
Salcedo
1 : 0
Moca
26 Sept
Vega Real
1 : 0
Moca
23 Sept
Moca
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
19 Sept
Atlantico FC
2 : 3
Moca
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salcedo 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Cibao 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
3 Vega Real 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
4 Delfines Del Este 9 4 2 3 8:6 14
5 Moca 9 3 4 2 7:6 11
6 Universidad O&M 9 3 2 4 12:10 9
7 Don Bosco Jarabacoa 9 1 1 7 5:18 1
8 Atlantico FC 9 0 2 7 8:28 0
Promotion - LDF (Winners stage)