Sport Picks

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Cibao vs Salcedo

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Roces J.
88' Event
Correa R.
90' Event
Correa R.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Cibao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cibao
35%
Draws
45%
Salcedo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salcedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Salcedo's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Cibao have produced (1.39).
  • Win probability leans Salcedo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Cibao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cibao Clean Sheet 16%
Salcedo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibao Salcedo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.39 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Salcedo vs Cibao
1:1
May 24, 2026 LDF
Cibao vs Salcedo
2:1
May 17, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Cibao
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 LDF
Cibao vs Salcedo
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Cibao
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cibao Compare

Top Goalscorer Roces J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Salcedo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibao 11 / 100
Salcedo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibao Salcedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salcedo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cibao scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Salcedo conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cibao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cibao VS Salcedo
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibao

(Home)
20 Sept
Cibao
1 : 1
Universidad O&M
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
05 Sept
Cibao
2 : 1
Vega Real
Page 1 of 6

Salcedo

(Away)
19 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 2
Salcedo
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Atlantico FC
1 : 6
Salcedo
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
30 Aug
Salcedo
3 : 1
Vega Real
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cibao 2
Atletico Pantoja 1
Delfines Del Este 2
Salcedo 3
Final
Cibao 2
Salcedo 3