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Stadium Background

Ciclon vs Atletico Bermejo

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Ciclon and Atletico Bermejo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciclon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ciclon
20%
Draws
56%
Atletico Bermejo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Bermejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Bermejo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Bermejo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Bermejo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon Atletico Bermejo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Atletico Bermejo
1:1
May 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Ciclon
2:0
Oct 15, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Atletico Bermejo
0:2
Sep 3, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Ciclon
2:0
Dec 11, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Atletico Bermejo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 11 / 100
Atletico Bermejo 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon Atletico Bermejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Bermejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciclon found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico Bermejo let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Ciclon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciclon VS Atletico Bermejo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Bermejo

(Away)
12 Nov
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Atletico Bermejo
05 Nov
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3
Atletico Bermejo
15 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 6 4 2 0 12:6 14
2 Real America 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Universitario Beni 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Miraflores 6 0 0 6 6:18 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
3 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 12:9 10
4 Tiquipaya 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
5 Deportivo Escara 8 0 2 6 5:26 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 5 1 2 10:8 16
2 Ciclon 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Fancesa 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
4 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 3 1 4 21:12 10
5 Rosario Central 8 1 1 6 9:33 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)