Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs A. Lima

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Garces C.
14'
Garces R.
31'
Salazar R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cienciano and A. Lima finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cienciano
30%
Draws
47%
A. Lima
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans A. Lima's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 22%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano A. Lima
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs A. Lima
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs A. Lima
2:1
May 3, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cienciano
0:1
Aug 21, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cienciano
3:0
Mar 13, 2024 Liga 1
Cienciano vs A. Lima
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Huaman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 29 / 100
A. Lima 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano A. Lima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

A. Lima has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cienciano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS A. Lima
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Sport Boys
5 : 1
Cienciano
21 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Cienciano
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
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A. Lima

(Away)
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0
Cajamarca
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1
A. Lima
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)