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Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Academia Puerto Cabello

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Garces C.
66'
Sub
Martinich M. In: Barreto G.
Out: Martinich M.
71'
Sub
Lima P. In: Moreno J.
Out: Lima P.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Sudamericana game between Cienciano and Academia Puerto Cabello finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cienciano
28%
Draws
22%
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cienciano a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Academia Puerto Cabello
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Cienciano
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano vs Academia Puerto Cabello
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hohberg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 59 / 100
Academia Puerto Cabello 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Academia Puerto Cabello

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Academia Puerto Cabello has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cienciano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Academia Puerto Cabello
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171