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Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cienciano host Atletico Grau in the Liga 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Atletico Grau have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Cienciano have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.57. Head-to-head, Cienciano have won 3 to Atletico Grau's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.75) back Cienciano to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cienciano
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Grau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cienciano's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 12%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Atletico Grau
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Cienciano
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Cienciano
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Cienciano
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 40 / 100
Atletico Grau 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Atletico Grau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Atletico Grau conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Cienciano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Atletico Grau
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Grau

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0
Los Chankas
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
2 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
3 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
4 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
5 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
6 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
8 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
13 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
14 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)