Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Cusco

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Colman I.
10' Event
Colitto L.
Assist: Soto D.
46'
Sub
Nunez C. In: Yovera A.
Out: Nunez C.

AI Match Summary

Cusco in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cienciano
15%
Draws
51%
Cusco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cusco haven't matched Cienciano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cusco a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 16%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Cusco
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cusco
1:2
Jun 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cusco vs Cienciano
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Cienciano
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cusco
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Cienciano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Colitto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 19 / 100
Cusco 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Cusco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cusco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Cienciano found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cienciano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Cusco
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Sport Boys
5 : 1
Cienciano
Page 1 of 7

Cusco

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 8 2 1 5 10:15 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
18 AD Tarma 9 0 2 7 5:20 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)