Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Garces C.
10'
Lagos R.
20' Event
Garces C.
Assist: Souza Espana C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cienciano and FC Cajamarca finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cienciano
30%
Draws
34%
FC Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cienciano are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 17%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano FC Cajamarca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bandiera N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Cajamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 36 / 100
FC Cajamarca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano FC Cajamarca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cienciano scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

FC Cajamarca has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cienciano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS FC Cajamarca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016