Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Lanus

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Cienciano Logo

Cienciano

4 - 0
FT
Lanus Logo

Lanus

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Garces C.
Assist: Souza Espana C.
13'
Aquino D.
21'
Sub
Nunez C. In: Cabello C.
Out: Nunez C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cienciano
15%
Draws
34%
Lanus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cienciano come out ahead of Lanus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cienciano a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Cienciano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cienciano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 17%
Lanus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Lanus
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.64 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano vs Lanus
4:0
Jul 23, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Lanus vs Cienciano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hohberg A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lanus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 41 / 100
Lanus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Lanus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cienciano scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cienciano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Lanus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Lanus
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
14 Aug
Cienciano
6 : 1
Botafogo RJ
06 Aug
Alianza Atl.
1 : 0
Cienciano
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0
Lanus
25 Jul
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

Lanus

(Away)
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1
Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1
Instituto
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0
Lanus
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 3
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 1
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe -
River Plate -
Vasco 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0
Bragantino 0
Atletico-MG 1
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 0
Montevideo City 1
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -