Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Montevideo City

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Cienciano Logo

Cienciano

2 - 0
FT
Montevideo City Logo

Montevideo City

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Souza Espana C.
Assist: Bandiera N.
33'
Cabello C.
34'
Sub
Cabello C. In: Nunez C.
Out: Cabello C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cienciano
15%
Draws
53%
Montevideo City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montevideo City come out ahead of Cienciano on wins alone.
  • Montevideo City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Montevideo City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cienciano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 10%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Montevideo City
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.68 2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Montevideo City vs Cienciano
3:0
Sep 11, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano vs Montevideo City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza Espana C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amondarain M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Montevideo City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 22 / 100
Montevideo City 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Montevideo City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Montevideo City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cienciano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Montevideo City
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
Page 1 of 7

Montevideo City

(Away)
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1
Liverpool M.
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -