Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Zapata Y.
Assist: Mejia C.
46'
Sub
Aguirre G. In: Bandiera N.
Out: Aguirre G.
46'
Sub
Salazar R. In: Souza Espana C.
Out: Salazar R.

AI Match Summary

Cienciano in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cienciano
20%
Draws
40%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cienciano have won more games recently than Moquegua.
  • Cienciano are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 20%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Moquegua
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Moquegua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bandiera N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garces C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 58 / 100
Moquegua 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Moquegua has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Moquegua has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Moquegua
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Sport Boys
5 : 1
Cienciano
21 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Cienciano
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Aug
Cienciano
6 : 1
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 7

Moquegua

(Away)
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0
Moquegua
22 Aug
Sport Huancayo
0 : 2
Moquegua
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1
Sport Boys
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)