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Cienciano vs Sport Boys

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cienciano play Sport Boys in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cienciano averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Sport Boys averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Cienciano won 2, Sport Boys won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 9, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Cienciano and 1.19 for Sport Boys. This points to a Cienciano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cienciano
29%
Draws
26%
Sport Boys
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Cienciano picked up more points recently compared to Sport Boys.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Sport Boys
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Sport Boys
3:1
Sep 18, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Sport Boys
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Cienciano
2:2
Jul 30, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Cienciano
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Sport Boys
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hohberg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Nequecaur L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 45 / 100
Sport Boys 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Sport Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cienciano or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cienciano attacking → ← attacking Sport Boys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sport Boys let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Cienciano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sport Boys lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 34
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016