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Cienciano vs Sport Loreto Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2019 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Garcia L.
13' Event
Jayo J.
38' Event
Calderon W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2019 game between Cienciano and Sport Loreto finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cienciano
15%
Draws
26%
Sport Loreto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Loreto haven't matched Cienciano's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Cienciano taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cienciano have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Loreto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Sport Loreto
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2019 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Cienciano
0:2
Jul 28, 2019 Liga 2
Cienciano vs Sport Loreto
4:2
Sep 16, 2018 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Cienciano
0:1
Jun 10, 2018 Liga 2
Cienciano vs Sport Loreto
5:0
Nov 5, 2017 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Cienciano
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sport Loreto Compare

Top Goalscorer Jayo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calderon W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 68 / 100
Sport Loreto 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Sport Loreto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Loreto has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cienciano scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Cienciano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
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Sport Loreto

(Away)
10 Nov
Sport Loreto
0 : 4
Juan Aurich
03 Nov
Atletico Grau
4 : 1
Sport Loreto
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
20 Oct
Sport Loreto
0 : 2
Cienciano
12 Oct
Union Huaral
1 : 0
Sport Loreto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 22 14 2 6 56:26 44
2 Alianza Atl. 22 13 4 5 45:21 43
3 Juan Aurich 22 13 3 6 35:24 42
4 Atletico Grau 22 13 2 7 52:30 41
5 Santos FC 22 12 5 5 29:21 41
6 Deportivo Coopsol 22 12 3 7 39:27 39
7 Comerciantes Unidos 22 10 3 9 32:33 33
8 Union Huaral 22 8 7 7 30:29 31
9 Los Chankas 22 9 3 10 25:33 30
10 Sport Loreto 22 5 3 14 28:46 15
11 Los Caimanes 22 2 2 18 21:55 5
12 Sport Victoria 22 2 1 19 9:56 7
Promotion - Liga 1 2020 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)