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Ciervos vs Artesanos Metepec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
60' Event
72' Event
Navarrete H.

AI Match Summary

Artesanos Metepec in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Artesanos Metepec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Ciervos
15%
Draws
71%
Artesanos Metepec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Artesanos Metepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Artesanos Metepec have won more games recently than Ciervos.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Artesanos Metepec taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Artesanos Metepec have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
Artesanos Metepec Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciervos Artesanos Metepec
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.86 2
Goals Conceded 2.21 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Artesanos Metepec
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Artesanos Metepec
0:4
Nov 16, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Artesanos Metepec vs Ciervos
4:0
Jan 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Artesanos Metepec
0:3
Aug 19, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Artesanos Metepec vs Ciervos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciervos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Artesanos Metepec Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarrete H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciervos 10 / 100
Artesanos Metepec 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciervos Artesanos Metepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artesanos Metepec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Artesanos Metepec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ciervos scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Ciervos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciervos VS Artesanos Metepec
0.88 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciervos

(Home)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
Page 1 of 6

Artesanos Metepec

(Away)
03 Oct
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
27 Sept
Acambaro
2 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)