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Ciervos vs Dragones de Oaxaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Espinosa Garcia D. Y.
11' Event
Martinez S.

AI Match Summary

Dragones de Oaxaca in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dragones de Oaxaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ciervos
15%
Draws
65%
Dragones de Oaxaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dragones de Oaxaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dragones de Oaxaca lately — more wins on the board than Ciervos.
  • Model gives Dragones de Oaxaca a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
Dragones de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciervos Dragones de Oaxaca
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Dragones de Oaxaca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciervos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Dragones de Oaxaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa Garcia D. Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciervos 10 / 100
Dragones de Oaxaca 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciervos Dragones de Oaxaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragones de Oaxaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dragones de Oaxaca conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ciervos found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Ciervos stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciervos VS Dragones de Oaxaca
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciervos

(Home)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
Page 1 of 6

Dragones de Oaxaca

(Away)
04 Oct
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 2
Real Refineros
27 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
4 : 3
Dragones de Oaxaca
20 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)