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Ciervos vs FC Santiago Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Ciervos Logo

Ciervos

1 - 2
FT
FC Santiago Logo

FC Santiago

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Chairez L.
36' Event
49' Event
Sanchez P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Ciervos and FC Santiago finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Santiago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ciervos
15%
Draws
57%
FC Santiago
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Santiago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Santiago carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on FC Santiago taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Santiago here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
FC Santiago Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciervos FC Santiago
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago vs Ciervos
5:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs FC Santiago
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs FC Santiago
0:3
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Santiago vs Ciervos
2:1
Jan 27, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Santiago vs Ciervos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciervos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Santiago Compare

Top Goalscorer Chairez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciervos 10 / 100
FC Santiago 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciervos FC Santiago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santiago Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FC Santiago registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ciervos scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciervos VS FC Santiago
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciervos

(Home)
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
29 Aug
Ciervos
0 : 2
Dragones de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6

FC Santiago

(Away)
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
FC Santiago
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
30 Aug
Vaqueros
1 : 0
FC Santiago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)