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Ciervos vs Halcones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
16' Event
42' Event

AI Match Summary

Halcones Negros in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Halcones Negros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ciervos
15%
Draws
64%
Halcones Negros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Halcones Negros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Halcones Negros haven't matched Ciervos's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Halcones Negros taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
Halcones Negros Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciervos Halcones Negros
Matches Played 28 6
Wins 5 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 0.89 2.83
Goals Conceded 2.18 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 2.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciervos 10 / 100
Halcones Negros 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciervos Halcones Negros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halcones Negros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ciervos scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Halcones Negros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 6 matches.

Recent resilience: Ciervos stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciervos VS Halcones Negros
0.88 Goals Scored 2.43
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciervos

(Home)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
Page 1 of 6

Halcones Negros

(Away)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
13 Sept
Halcones Negros
3 : 0
Guerreros del Pacifico
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)