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AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Ciervos and Zacatepec finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zacatepec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zacatepec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zacatepec come out ahead of Ciervos on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Zacatepec's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciervos | Zacatepec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Zacatepec
2:3
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs Ciervos
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciervos 10 / 100
Zacatepec 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciervos Zacatepec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zacatepec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Ciervos scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Zacatepec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Ciervos stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ciervos VS Zacatepec
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciervos
(Home) 11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
31 Mar
FC Santiago
5 : 0 Ciervos
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
14 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 1 Ciervos
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Feb
Ciervos
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
14 Feb
Ciervos
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 4
Zacatepec
(Away) 26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Zacatepec
22 Apr
Zacatepec
2 : 2 Alacranes de Durango
19 Apr
FC Santiago
2 : 3 Zacatepec
15 Apr
Zacatepec
1 : 1 FC Santiago
12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0 Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Zacatepec
19 Apr
FC Santiago
2 : 3 Zacatepec
12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0 Zacatepec
28 Mar
CS Canamy
0 : 5 Zacatepec
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
