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Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Aurora Seriate Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora Seriate in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora Seriate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
30%
Draws
54%
Aurora Seriate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurora Seriate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora Seriate lately — more wins on the board than Ciliverghe Mazzano.
  • Model gives Aurora Seriate a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 16%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciliverghe Mazzano Aurora Seriate
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Aurora Seriate
1:3
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciliverghe Mazzano 10 / 100
Aurora Seriate 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciliverghe Mazzano Aurora Seriate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Seriate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora Seriate let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ciliverghe Mazzano scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Ciliverghe Mazzano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciliverghe Mazzano VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciliverghe Mazzano

(Home)
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0
Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 7

Aurora Seriate

(Away)
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3
Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2
Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)