Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025

Ospitaletto

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ciliverghe Mazzano play Ospitaletto in the Serie D - Group B 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ciliverghe Mazzano averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Ospitaletto averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Ciliverghe Mazzano won 0, Ospitaletto won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 27, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Ciliverghe Mazzano and 0.99 for Ospitaletto. This points to a Ospitaletto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Ciliverghe Mazzano

32%

Draws

42%

Ospitaletto

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Ospitaletto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ciliverghe Mazzano picked up more points recently compared to Ospitaletto.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 23%

Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ciliverghe Mazzano	Ospitaletto
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	8
Draws	6	14
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	1.03	1.09
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group B

Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Ospitaletto

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group B

Ospitaletto vs Ciliverghe Mazzano

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rusconi R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Messaggi C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciliverghe Mazzano 28 / 100

Ospitaletto 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ciliverghe Mazzano Ospitaletto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ospitaletto or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ciliverghe Mazzano attacking → ← attacking Ospitaletto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ospitaletto let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ciliverghe Mazzano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ospitaletto lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 38

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ospitaletto	38	21	12	5	66:34	75
2	Pro Palazzolo	38	20	10	8	69:36	70
3	Desenzano Calvina	38	19	12	7	51:29	69
4	USD Casatese	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
5	Folgore Caratese	38	20	8	10	66:42	68
6	Varesina	38	17	13	8	61:44	64
7	Chievo	38	16	9	13	49:37	57
8	Pro Sesto	38	13	13	12	45:43	52
9	Club Milano	38	14	7	17	44:50	49
10	Sant'Angelo	38	11	15	12	41:41	48
11	Sondrio	38	12	11	15	39:51	47
12	Breno	38	11	14	13	42:53	47
13	Castellanzese	38	10	16	12	43:53	46
14	Vigasio	38	11	12	15	39:41	45
15	Sangiuliano City	38	11	12	15	39:46	45
16	Crema	38	11	11	16	48:57	44
17	Magenta	38	8	12	18	33:53	36
18	Fanfulla	38	6	14	18	28:57	32
19	Ciliverghe Mazzano	38	7	10	21	41:70	31
20	Arconatese	38	7	10	21	33:64	31