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Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Savignanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciliverghe Mazzano play Savignanese in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ciliverghe Mazzano averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Savignanese averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Ciliverghe Mazzano won 1, Savignanese won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 2, 2020 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Ciliverghe Mazzano and 1.50 for Savignanese. This points to a Ciliverghe Mazzano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
25%
Draws
36%
Savignanese
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ciliverghe Mazzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciliverghe Mazzano picked up more points recently compared to Savignanese.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 16%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciliverghe Mazzano Savignanese
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Savignanese
3:2
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozzanica J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franzoni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Savignanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Longobardi C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 / 100
Savignanese 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciliverghe Mazzano Savignanese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ciliverghe Mazzano or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ciliverghe Mazzano attacking → ← attacking Savignanese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Savignanese let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ciliverghe Mazzano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Savignanese lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 19
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00