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Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

1 - 0
FT
Leones Negros 2 Logo

Leones Negros 2

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Coronado A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
15%
Draws
36%
Leones Negros 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Leones Negros 2 have won more games recently than Cimarrones de Sonora 2.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Leones Negros 2 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cimarrones de Sonora 2, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Leones Negros 2
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 12 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:1
May 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:0
Jan 21, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 95 / 100
Leones Negros 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Leones Negros 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Leones Negros 2 let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leones Negros 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Home)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

Leones Negros 2

(Away)
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2
Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0
Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Correcaminos 2 2
Mineros de Fresnillo 3
Leones Negros 2 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 2
Final
Mineros de Fresnillo 2
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 3