Sport Picks
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Zapotlanejo
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Bautista K.
28'
28'
Beltran R.
31'
31'
Perez E.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Cimarrones de Sonora and Zapotlanejo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cimarrones de Sonora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cimarrones de Sonora come out ahead of Zapotlanejo on wins alone.
- 30% — that's where the model lands on Cimarrones de Sonora taking it.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cimarrones de Sonora Clean Sheet 68%
Zapotlanejo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cimarrones de Sonora | Zapotlanejo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo vs Cimarrones de Sonora
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Zapotlanejo
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cimarrones de Sonora Compare
Top Goalscorer Beltran R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Zapotlanejo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bautista K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cimarrones de Sonora 77 / 100
Zapotlanejo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cimarrones de Sonora Zapotlanejo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cimarrones de Sonora's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Zapotlanejo has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Cimarrones de Sonora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cimarrones de Sonora VS Zapotlanejo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cimarrones de Sonora
(Home) 26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2 Celaya
23 Apr
Celaya
2 : 1 Cimarrones de Sonora
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1 Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4 Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2 Celaya
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
28 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
14 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0 Colima FC
28 Feb
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 0 Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 3
Zapotlanejo
(Away) 19 Sept
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1 Zapotlanejo
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1 Apodaca
06 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
4 : 0 Zapotlanejo
29 Aug
Zapotlanejo
3 : 0 Guerreros de Autlan
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4 Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1 Zapotlanejo
06 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
4 : 0 Zapotlanejo
29 Mar
Ensenada FC
0 : 1 Zapotlanejo
08 Mar
Reboceros de La Piedad
5 : 4 Zapotlanejo
21 Feb
Leones Negros 2
3 : 0 Zapotlanejo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
