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Cinfaes vs Aparecida

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Junior M.
43' Event
Junior M.
45' Event
Costa L.

AI Match Summary

Cinfaes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cinfaes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cinfaes
6%
Draws
4%
Aparecida
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cinfaes lately — more wins on the board than Aparecida.
  • Cinfaes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes Aparecida
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Aparecida
5:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs Cinfaes
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Costa L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aparecida Compare

Top Goalscorer Nhaga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel Cazares
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 95 / 100
Aparecida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes Aparecida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Cinfaes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cinfaes found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS Aparecida
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Salgueiros
22 Mar
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Cinfaes
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 7

Aparecida

(Away)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)