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Cinfaes vs Vila Mea

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Morais M.
82' Event
Tomazi M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Cinfaes and Vila Mea finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cinfaes
6%
Draws
4%
Vila Mea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cinfaes come out ahead of Vila Mea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cinfaes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes Vila Mea
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 13
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Vila Mea
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Cinfaes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomazi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 95 / 100
Vila Mea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes Vila Mea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cinfaes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cinfaes scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Vila Mea let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS Vila Mea
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Salgueiros
22 Mar
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Cinfaes
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 7

Vila Mea

(Away)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
Vila Mea
1 : 0
Rebordosa
15 Mar
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)