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Cinfaes vs Vila Mea

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Cinfaes Logo

Cinfaes

1 - 1
FT
Vila Mea Logo

Vila Mea

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Morais M.
82' Event
Tomazi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Cinfaes and Vila Mea finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cinfaes
30%
Draws
33%
Vila Mea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cinfaes come out ahead of Vila Mea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cinfaes a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes Vila Mea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Vila Mea
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Cinfaes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomazi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 46 / 100
Vila Mea 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes Vila Mea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cinfaes scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Vila Mea has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Cinfaes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS Vila Mea
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
01 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
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Vila Mea

(Away)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)