Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cirbonero vs Alesves

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Esparza J.
34' Event
Leon M.
40' Event
Antomas J.

AI Match Summary

Cirbonero in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cirbonero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cirbonero
20%
Draws
0%
Alesves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cirbonero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cirbonero lately — more wins on the board than Alesves.
  • Win probability leans Cirbonero's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cirbonero here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 20%
Alesves Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cirbonero Alesves
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.16 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Alesves
4:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Cirbonero
1:4
Jan 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Cirbonero
2:1
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Alesves
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antomas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alesves Compare

Top Goalscorer Esparza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cirbonero 85 / 100
Alesves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cirbonero Alesves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alesves conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Alesves registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cirbonero's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cirbonero VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cirbonero

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 7

Alesves

(Away)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)