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Cirbonero vs Izarra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Diaz Montes M.
44' Event
Sagues C.
46' Event
Martiarena A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Cirbonero and Izarra finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Izarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cirbonero
30%
Draws
51%
Izarra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cirbonero haven't matched Izarra's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Izarra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Izarra have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 16%
Izarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cirbonero Izarra
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 13
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Izarra
0:4
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Izarra
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Cirbonero
1:0
Apr 9, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Izarra vs Cirbonero
0:0
Nov 26, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Cirbonero vs Izarra
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Antomas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Izarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Montes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagues C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cirbonero 10 / 100
Izarra 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cirbonero Izarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cirbonero scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Izarra conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Cirbonero remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cirbonero VS Izarra
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cirbonero

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
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Izarra

(Away)
26 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
Beti Kozkor
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)