Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cirbonero vs Txantrea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cacho A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Cirbonero and Txantrea finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cirbonero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cirbonero
20%
Draws
44%
Txantrea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Txantrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Txantrea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 19%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cirbonero Txantrea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Txantrea
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cirbonero
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Txantrea
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cirbonero
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cirbonero
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Cacho A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Txantrea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cirbonero 32 / 100
Txantrea 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cirbonero Txantrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Txantrea has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Cirbonero scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Cirbonero stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Txantrea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cirbonero VS Txantrea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cirbonero

(Home)
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
03 May
Huarte
2 : 0
Cirbonero
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
12 Apr
Cirbonero
1 : 3
Izarra
Page 1 of 6

Txantrea

(Away)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Txantrea
1 : 2
Izarra
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)