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Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Dep. Azogues

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2013 game between Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios and Dep. Azogues finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
39%
Draws
30%
Dep. Azogues
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Azogues come out ahead of Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Azogues Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Dep. Azogues
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Dep. Azogues
3:1
Aug 18, 2013 Serie B
Dep. Azogues vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:2
May 11, 2013 Serie B
Dep. Azogues vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:0
Apr 20, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Dep. Azogues
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios 32 / 100
Dep. Azogues 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Dep. Azogues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Dep. Azogues has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Away concern: Dep. Azogues has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dep. Azogues
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

(Home)
24 Nov
Aucas
5 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
17 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 3
Deportivo Municipal
13 Nov
CSCD Grecia
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
09 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 1
Olmedo
02 Nov
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
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Dep. Azogues

(Away)
28 Nov
Manta
8 : 0
Dep. Azogues
21 Nov
Dep. Azogues
1 : 2
Macara
14 Nov
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 1
Dep. Azogues
08 Nov
Dep. Azogues
2 : 0
Deportivo Quevedo
31 Oct
Imbabura
1 : 1
Dep. Azogues
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837
Promotion - Serie A 2014 (First stage)