Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Guillermo Trama, Comandante Nicanor Otamendi
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Torres C.
26'
Manas F.
34' Event
Castillo S.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Circulo Deportivo and Kimberley finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kimberley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Circulo Deportivo
20%
Draws
29%
Kimberley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Circulo Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kimberley come out ahead of Circulo Deportivo on wins alone.
  • Circulo Deportivo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Circulo Deportivo Kimberley
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Circulo Deportivo
1:1
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley
0:1
May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Circulo Deportivo
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Circulo Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kimberley Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Circulo Deportivo 51 / 100
Kimberley 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Circulo Deportivo Kimberley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Circulo Deportivo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Circulo Deportivo found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Kimberley conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Circulo Deportivo VS Kimberley
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Circulo Deportivo

(Home)
27 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0
Germinal
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Kimberley

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0
Kimberley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)