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Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Guillermo Trama, Comandante Nicanor Otamendi
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Galiano L. In: Lopez S.
Out: Galiano L.
22'
Cordoba E.
23' Event
Juarez R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Circulo Deportivo and Sol de Mayo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Circulo Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Circulo Deportivo
15%
Draws
0%
Sol de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Circulo Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sol de Mayo haven't matched Circulo Deportivo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Circulo Deportivo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Circulo Deportivo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Circulo Deportivo Sol de Mayo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.73 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
2:1
Sep 6, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
3:1
May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Circulo Deportivo
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Circulo Deportivo 68 / 100
Sol de Mayo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Circulo Deportivo Sol de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Circulo Deportivo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sol de Mayo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sol de Mayo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Circulo Deportivo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Circulo Deportivo VS Sol de Mayo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Circulo Deportivo

(Home)
27 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0
Germinal
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Sol de Mayo

(Away)
27 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Sol de Mayo
0 : 1
Juventud U.U.
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)